Money, Credit, and Markets: Before You Buy the Dip, Read This.

April 13, 2025 - Update

My Investment Philosophy, Simplified

At the heart of my investment approach is a simple truth: money supply and access to credit are the lifeblood of the economy. When they’re flowing, businesses thrive, earnings grow, and markets rise. When they dry up, the economy slows, companies falter, and stock prices fall.

That’s why the first thing I look at is M2—the money supply. If M2 is growing at a healthy pace, it signals liquidity is available to support lending, investment, and expansion. But if it stalls or contracts, that’s often the first domino to fall. Credit tightens, interest rates rise, businesses cut back, earnings decline—and the market follows.

So while traditional investors focus on valuations or earnings or charts alone, I start with liquidity. It's the foundation. Without it, even the best businesses might str…