Market at a Crossroads: Key Signals, Portfolio Moves & My First eBook!
February 9, 2025 - Update
Market & Portfolio Update
MACRO OUTLOOK: Walking a Fine Line
The market is sending mixed signals:
Monetary policy remains tight. M2 money supply isn’t growing, signaling the FED's focus on stabilizing prices. I want to see M2 rising again soon.
Inflation is improving. I expect next week’s data to surprise positively. The January CPI should be slightly better than December, and February better than January.
The economy remains strong. Q1 2025 GDP growth is forecasted at 3.1%—a solid pace.
The 10-year Treasury yield has been declining since mid-January, easing financial conditions.
What to Watch:
The ideal scenario? Better-than-expected inflation, strong earnings, solid guidance, and moderate economic data. This mix could push the FED to start cutting rates.
Risks to avoid:
Bad inflation data. If inflation spikes again, rate cuts could be delayed.
Banks tightenin…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to 10X CAPITAL POT to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.