Inflation Surprise, Market Strength & New Trades

February 16, 2025 - Update

📊 MACRO INSIGHTS: Inflation Surprise, Market Stays Strong

Last week, inflation came in hotter than expected, yet the 10-year Treasury yield finished slightly lower. What does this mean?

• The U.S. economy remains strong—running at 3% growth with no signs of inflation spiraling out of control.

• The 10-year yield isn’t signaling inflation panic, which suggests the market still sees inflation as manageable.

Key Market Highlights:

• S&P 500: +1.5% for the week

• NASDAQ: +2.58% for the week — just 1% away from all-time highs.

• Oil prices remain low: ~$75 per barrel, easing inflation concerns.

Geopolitical Watch:

The Trump administration is reportedly working to end the Ukraine-Russia conflict. A peaceful resolution would be great news for humanity—and for market stability.

My Outlook:

I'm still bullish on stocks under these conditions but ready to change my mind if new dat…