If you’ve been following me, you know I treat liquidity and credit availability as the ultimate green/red lights for mid-term investing. Below is every macro note I’ve posted since December 2024:
Dec 1 2024 – “From a monetary perspective, the U.S. environment remains favorable. M2 data suggests a slightly dovish stance, and easier credit is a boon for business.”
Dec 8 2024 – “For now, the data points to a supportive backdrop for stocks.”
Dec 23 2024 – “The mid-term outlook remains favorable for stocks, especially as we enter the Trump administration with solid credit conditions.”
Jan 6 2025 – “I’m watching for inflation to stay under 3 % and for liquidity to remain loose. Overall, I’m bullish on stocks for 2025.”
Jan 26 2025 – “The U.S. economy looks strong, and as long as inflation and credit stay in check, stocks have the wind at their backs.”
Feb 2 2025 – “M2 growth stalled in December. Macro conditions still favor equities, but there’s little room for the market to absorb a sudden Fed t…
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