Assessing probabilities for the Stock Market

What I am watching, thinking and doing.

I was waiting for the last CPI report to make up my mind on what to expect next.

CPI came at 8.2% for the last 12 months ending in September 2022. Looking under the hood, the report was worst than expected.

Bottom line: the FED will keep its agenda of raising interest rates to slow down the economy and demand.

For how long? Nobody knows and that’s the key …